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2014年5月19日
馬尼拉訊: 一位在美國的智庫周一說, 因為海外勞工大量匯回的錢和外包業務厥起的大趨勢, 菲律賓的經濟在下一個十年將會倍數成長
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在本周馬尼拉的東亞會議中舉行的世界經濟論壇之前所發行的一份聲明中, 他說, “菲律賓的經濟從上世紀以來, 已經歷一個很大的轉變, 已從小貓變成一隻老虎了.”
他的報告說, “菲律賓的經濟有足夠的市場, 在2016到2030之間, 每年維持長期強壯的成長率在4.5%至5%.
他說, 依照計劃在2030年前GDP要逹1.2兆美金, 菲律賓的經濟在2024年以前, 將從現在的二千八佰億美金成長到六千八佰億美金
他舉例說, 大約一千萬在海外的菲國勞工, 從海外匯回國內的錢強力的成長, 加上國內接受企業外包的業務在過去十幾年快速的增加.
但他也提醒說, 為了能支持經濟的成長, 菲律賓需要改進環境, 以加強吸引外資投入在主要旅遊景產業和生產業.
他也提到, 菲律賓在世界銀行對於投資環境的評比仍然很低
他同時舉例說, 儘管政府的數字顯示經濟成長快速, 但仍有四分之一的菲律賓人因為失業率仍高的問題, 還是生活在貧窮中,
菲律賓在過去幾年在亞洲是經濟成長最快速的國家之一, 2013年是7.2%.
Philippine economy
to double in by 2030
May 19, 2014
MANILA: The Philippine economy will more
than double in the next decade as earnings from overseas workers and business
outsourcing surge, a respected US-based think-tank said Monday.
Once the region’s perennial economic
laggard, the Southeast Asian country is poised to stage a major comeback to be
one of the top three economies in the region by 2030, forecast Rajiv Biswas,
Asia-Pacific chief economist for IHS.
“(The)
Philippines economy has undergone a remarkable transition from a pussycat into
a tiger economy over the last decade,” he said in a statement issued ahead of
the holding of the World Economic Forum on East Asia meeting in Manila this
week.
“The Philippine
economy has the capacity for robust long-term economic growth of around 4.5% to
5% per year over the 2016 to 2030 time horizon,” the report said.
The economy will grow from its present
level of about US$280 billion to US$680 billion by 2024, “with a projected GDP
of US$1.2 trillion by 2030,” he added.
He cited the strong growth of remittances
from the estimated 10 million Filipinos working overseas as well as the local
business process outsourcing industry, which has surged in the past decade.
But Biswas also warned that in order to
sustain economic growth, the Philippines will have to improve conditions to
attract more investment to the key tourism and manufacturing sectors.
He warned that the country still ranked
very poorly on the World Bank’s ratings for ease of doing business.
He also cited government figures showing
that despite the rapid growth, one in four Filipinos still live in poverty
while unemployment and underemployment remain serious problems.
The Philippines has been one of the fastest-growing
economies in Asia in recent years, posting 7.2% growth in 2013.
– AFP