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2015年2月16日
中央電視台Barnaby Lo在馬尼拉報導
經濟計劃部祕書長Balisacan說 “2014年最後一季有將近7%的成長, 這個數字超越國際間的期待, 讓菲國2014年一整年的成長數字超過6%”
馬尼拉港口的壅塞, 和受到最大的最具破壞性的颱風-海燕-襲擊的影響, 拖延了2014年的經濟成長表現.
由於農業生產的增加、全球客服系統外包業務的繼續擴張、公共建設和私人興建的投資和強勁的消費需求, 推動了經濟的成長.
Balisacan說, 至少有家國際融資公司同意, 菲律賓已避過了經濟繁榮與蕭條的循環.
International Money Fund國際金融基金的Shanaka Jayanath Peiris說, “菲律賓現在的成長, 並不完全因為舉債, 它是因為強勁的基礎和大量的人口, 以及增強的生產力. 所以你可以看出 ,這不像是以前的經濟繁榮與蕭條的循環, 而也不是那種用槓桿方式增進成長的例子”
這麼一個石油進口國, 菲律賓受益於油價的降低, 這將導致日用品價格和電價變得便宜. 在這麼一個亞洲人口最年輕和人口成長最快的國家, 經濟學家相信, 菲國的經濟會繼續成長. 以長期來說, 這要看政府如何把握其年輕人口的優勢了.
Peiris 說 “年輕的人口提供了很大的機會讓經濟快速成長, 而且也開發了很多工作機會, 當然也提供了GDP成長的機會” “但國家仍需增加更多的工作, 這樣才不會有失業的問題, 所以 這是一個很棒的機會, 但也是一個挑戰”
菲律賓的失業人口率, 在亞洲是最高的國家之一, 但是2014年也已開創了百萬的工作機會.
February 16, 2015
The Philippine economy continues to outperform its
neighbors. It expanded by almost 7 percent in the last quarter of 2014. The
expansion has pushed the country’s average full-year growth to just over 6
percent, making it Asia’s second fastest-growing economy.
CCTV’s Barnaby Lo reported this story from Manila.
Still
reeling from the aftermath of natural disasters, the $300 billion Philippine
economy slowed in 2014, but still outpaced most other Asian countries.
“Growth figures… beat international expectations — nearly 7 percent in the last quarter of 2014 — pushing the average full-year growth to more than 6 percent for a third consecutive year,” Economic Planning Secretary Arsenio Balisacan said.
Congestion at Manila’s ports and the lingering effects of Typhoon Haiyan, one of the most destructive storms to hit the country, had dampened its economic performance for a good part of 2014.
An increase in agricultural output, the continuing expansion of the call center industry, construction in both public and private sectors, and strong consumer demand boosted the economy.
Balisacan said the Philippines has avoided a boom-bust cycle — and at least one international lender agrees.
“The current growth of the Philippines is not driven purely by debt. It’s driven by strong fundamentals and a good demographics, and improved productivity. So you would think that it does seem like the issues of the past of boom-bust cycles and the leverage-driven growth is no longer the case,” Shanaka Jayanath Peiris of International Money Fund said.
As an oil-importing country, the Philippines stands to benefit from low oil , which would equal cheaper commodities and power rates. But in a country that is home to one of Asia’s youngest and fastest growing populations, economists believe continuing economic growth, over the long term, will depend on the country’s ability to take advantage of its young society.
“That young population provides a big opportunity to grow faster and create jobs. Of course it provides the opportunity to have higher GDP growth,” Peiris said. “But you also need to create the jobs, so you won’t have the unemployment problem. So it’s a great opportunity but it’s also a challenge.”
The unemployment rate in the Philippines remains one of the highest in Asia, but a million jobs were also created in 2014.
Source: cctv-america